Oscar Predicitions Fail

I usually do not like reviewing the Oscar nods and offer predictions for the following reasons:

Over the years, the science of predicting a winner has become rather a “no-brainer” with a couple of surprises but due to the proliferation of awards shows, over time, you start to see a pattern.
Odd as it sounds, while I consider myself a huge cinephile, the awards season (see above) leaves me a little jaded. It is (and basically has always been) about the politics and the “business” in show-business. There is little room for the true awarding of noteworthy pieces of work. I guess the counterargument to my position can be that because of all the ceremonies out there, there can be a more even spread and more can get recognized. In my observation especially of the major awards I have not found this to be the case.
The “best” of anything is purely subjective. Maybe I should give a list of my favorites but sometimes I feel that empirically that is unfair since I have not seen everything that is out there, nor do I really have a desire to see every movie under the sun. There are just not enough hours in the day.
Monday Night Quarterbacking is fun! After all the awards are over, I can look back and make decisions and develop opinion and analysis about what may make viewing a particular set of films fun for me in the future. Granted I miss the experience of catching films the way many are meant to be seen (at the cinema). But oh well, I was never going to see everything in that format anyway.